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108 EVALUATING TRADING STRATEGIES PECIAL 40TH ANNIVERSARY ISSUE Evaluating Trading Strategies CAMPBELL R. HARVEY AND YAN LIU CAMPBELL R. HARVEY is a professor at Duke University in Durham, NC, and a fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research in Cambridge, MA.

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Robert Pardo, president of Pardo Capital, author of the book ‘The Evaluation and Optimization of Trading Strategies’ and creator of the ‘Walk Forward Analysis’ approach, is here to chat about creating and optimizing strategies that are robust and continue to work in the future.

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In finance, a trading strategy is a fixed plan that is designed to achieve a profitable return by going long or short in markets. The main reasons that a properly researched trading strategy helps are its verifiability, quantifiability, consistency, and objectivity. For every trading strategy one needs to define assets to trade, entry/exit points and money management rules.

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Trading systems expert Robert Pardo is back, and in The Evaluation and Optimization of Trading Strategies, a thoroughly revised and updated edition of his classic text Design, Testing, and Optimization of Trading Systems, he reveals how he has perfected the programming and testing of trading systems using a successful battery of his own time

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The evaluation and optimization of trading strategies. Now that I have all of my goals and rules in place next I will take a block of trades 20 or more so that you can analyze the effectiveness of the strategy.

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The Evaluation and Optimization of Trading Strategies

Overfitting or curve-fitting is optimization done incorrectly, carelessly, or gone wrong in some other way. This chapter puts forth the proposition that the overfitting of a trading strategy to historical data occurs when testing and optimization are done incorrectly.